02 September 20XX
My Dear Lucilius:
I am sure by now you
have read the same news as I have, the same news that is burning up
the InterWeb – literally world wide. A multinational, multi-day
bank holiday. Announced – at least here in the US – in the
middle of a three day holiday weekend, to which most cannot respond.
I had expected much
– negative interest rates, price controls, even perhaps a trading
holiday. But I scarcely expected such a thing as this to occur.
This is a sign of true desperation, of the backup rip cord being
pulled, of the emergency brake being hauled back on.
The outcome, of
course, is foretold to anyone who knows the history of the Great
Depression: long lines, followed by a complete loss of confidence in
the currency. The currency will last for a week, maybe two – until
people begin to figure out that it truly has become no more than a
paper promise, something that will never again be useful for anything
except for such great and noble tasks as starting fires.
All of the
government’s official statements aside – full faith and credit,
temporary event to help stabilize the economy, and so on – I
suspect the game is up. By the time they re-open the banks, nothing
will have changed to change the underlying issues.
Think of it – for
millions of workers now, there is essentially no hope that they will
be paid, or if they are paid that they will be able to get to their
money, or if they are able to get to their money that they will be
able to use it to purchase anything. Inflation is likely to become
the word of the day for the short term, as business owners attempt to
mitigate their risk by charging more in hopes that they will be able
to get something (yes yes,I know – it is all terrible illegal and
all. But who is going to enforce the laws now? Law enforcement cares
to be paid like anyone else).
And then, I suspect,
nothing.
I suppose I can at
least watch the inevitable market crash that will occur (I can
already seeing happening around the world, a slow moving tsunami that
is coming towards our time zone) – not that this makes me feel any
better, of course. My carefully laid financial plans are about to
collapse into so much worthless electronic bytes. My bank account,
now rather exhausted, will probably fare slightly better – but my
only option is electronic transfer at this point, and who will be
selling or accepting currency which is truly imaginary?
I will hold on to
whatever cash I currently possess. Who knows – perhaps in the
future, it will have some value, if only as a memento of an economy
that disappeared overnight, much like German Marks from the Weimar
Republic.
Your Obedient
Servant, Seneca
We are squabbling about that on another blog as we speak, TB. Do you stack precious metals? I have enough cash on hand to survive a couple months(assuming the currency doesn't tank)… but not near enough physical silver or gold.
ReplyDeleteGreat update. And quite possibly future telling.
ReplyDeleteGlen, I have a little - mostly pre-1964 silver and a little gold. I struggle with going in all precious metals. As they are a store of wealth, they are only worth something to someone who wants them - e.g. in the event of an actual crisis, why would I trade my food for something I cannot eat.
ReplyDeleteI do need to increase my levels - but a little, not a lot in my opinion.
Thanks Linda. And possibly more prophetic than I would care for.
ReplyDeleteBible tells of a time to come when much treasure is found along roadsides, dropped by its owners who are seeking food and water
ReplyDeletethe remains of the owners are found a bit further along the road
absolute desperation
Funny how so many forget that verse, Deb.
ReplyDeleteI'd like the actual verse if you don't mind. Not that I doubt it, troubles is something well described and mentioned how to avoid often in Proverbs and such.
ReplyDeleteMichael, try Ezekiel 7:19 (and following to the end of the chapter): "They will fling their silver into the streets and their gold will become an abhorrent thing; their silver and their gold will not be able to deliver them in the day of the wrath of the Lord. They cannot satisfy their appetite nor can they fill their stomachs, for their iniquity has become an occasion of stumbling."
Delete