(Warning: This post discusses political theory. If you do not care for such things, might I suggest this lovely photo essay about our cat A? We will return to our regularly scheduled chaos tomorrow).
I assume as you are reading this (and certainly as I am writing this) that no clear winner has been determined the Quadrennial Hunger Games we call the Great American Presidential Election. The General Services Administration quite rightly stated that until the election was certified, there is no winner (in my one fit of pique: Media does not declare winners. The system established in The Constitution does).
But not having a winner does not mean there are many losers. There are plenty of those to go around:
1) The US Voting System: If this election has shown anything which I think that all sides can agree on, it is that that US Election system is only slightly above that voting for a 5th grade class president. Voting should be a serious business, and the way we go about it is not: drive through, walk-up, parachuting in, carrier pigeon, unsigned, scrawled, lost in the mail, found in a trunk. The rest of the world must seriously be looking at us and shaking their heads. As they should be.
It makes a certain sense: both major parties benefit at different times from such a system and so they do nothing to fix it. If a politician truly wanted to make themselves the head of a movement, voting reform would be an easy one to do.
2) The Reds: It is rare to have members of a party vote against an incumbent and the Reds have done little if anything to curb that. That is the current office holder's benefit and curse: to paraphrase Yoda, "Like or Hate, there is no Maybe". I know individuals that voted for in the last Quadrennial Hunger Games that did not vote that way this time; it may prove to be the undoing.
That said, the current office holder is not going away in the event of a loss. To think any other way is to ignore that fierce loyalty engendered and demonstrated over the last month. Whoever the next candidate is for the next Quadrennial Hunger Games will have to figure out a way to capture that loyalty - or at least no offending it.
3) The Blues: The Blues, should they win, will be trapped by the fact that their coalition consists of two groups: moderates and the "Burn It All Down". They cannot cater too much to the "Burn It All Down" lest they destroy their moderate base; they cannot cater too much to the moderates lest the "Burn It All Down" decide (literally) to burn it all down. The spectacle of watching they support positions which they mocked as recently as six months ago and the unmitigated scorn and hate they will receive is will be amusing as it is tragic.
4) The Media: As with item 1, it should be relatively apparent that the medias has lost any pretense of being neutral. They now view themselves as "King Makers" - determiners of policy instead of reporters of it. "A Free Press" as enshrined in the 1st Amendment should not be confused with a "Free to Determine the Fate of Countries" item.
If the Reds win, it will be business as usual. If the Blues win, the media will be in the awkward position of having to maintain a veneer of neutrality. As an observer, I sincerely doubt they are up to the task. More likely, the Blues will have to offer periodic sacrifices of lower level apparatchiks to demonstrate they do not play favorites.
The other issue is that this is pressing forward the rise of the alternative InterWeb Press. They can pretend they still hold the only keys to legitimate reporting, but that will ultimately be determined by the consumers, not the gatekeepers.
5) Social Media: As you know, I continue to maintain a presence on The Book of Face, mostly to occasionally post pictures for my parents and track my group activities. After years of hearing people say they are doing it, I am shocked at the amount of people I see bailing on The Book of Face for alternative social media venues. I cannot vouch for any of these (current favorites seem to be Parler and MeWe), but that fact that people are finally doing it is amazing (and, might I say, a bit delicious in the fact that they are posting about leaving The Book of Face on The Book of Face).
This is a problem for The Book of Face, and Tweetter, and other associated social media platforms. If people leave, you eventually lose revenues. And, you run the risk of being labeled a site that only caters to one element of the population. When people stop connecting because they no longer want to connect, your purpose as a social media - a platform for people to connect - becomes a bit unsustainable.
Which leads us to:
6) The American People: If this year's Quadrennial Hunger Games has demonstrated anything, it is that the American People are farther apart than ever and that cries of unity are pretty much going to fall on deaf ears. As the Blues made no effort since the 2016 Quadrennial Hunger Games to "just get along", the Reds are under no compulsion to do so (nor, frankly, should they. What is good for the goose is good for the gander). And no matter who comes out of top, it going to leave a slightly more fractured mess to go forward than before.
There will ultimately only be one winner. But sadly, there are plenty of losers.
(Alright, I am taking a chance. Principles only, not politics please. Do not disappoint me.)
A lot of friendships and office co-workers have had their relationships tested with the past 4 years. It takes a lot of effort for some to just let sleeping dogs lie and accept the other for their beliefs. Like religion, just not a subject that all will agree with - Winners and losers like you said.
ReplyDeleteTrump and the Republicans are often enemies themselves. Splitting the party will only guarantee the Democrats will win even more. When / if Trump leaves, there is going to be a void left. He has been an effective leader and gets things done. The stock market likes that and a job market that is humming along is good for all of us, opening opportunities that are closed off when business is bad. I do wish he chose his words a little better - a bull in a china shop is more subtle :^).
Anonymous - I think at this point is it is worse than religion - or rather, what religion was 20 years ago. Now, almost no-one talks about their religion, at least where I work (to be fair, the current work environment really does not encourage that sort of thing). But politics has gotten caught up with all kinds of things that are not politics, thus the inflamed passions.
DeleteThe Reds definitely would have benefited from someone that had a more controlled tongue and moderated attitude - but as you say, things were accomplished. The Reds will have to figure out a means to harness that energy even without that candidate. Frankly, given their past history, I am not sure they are up to the task.
All I see is hipocracy everywhere. We've had a couple elections take four months to decide and a more recent one took 35 days. We are just starting day 9 and some are calling the failure to concede an embarrassment. I think I have spent the last year listening to some of the most divisive comments made by both teams and the day after the media crowned the next King, he sang Kumbaya and pledged that "we" are all in this together and I actually witnessed people crying over how touching it all is.
ReplyDeleteI'm pretty sure I know who will be the next occupant but like you said, I am waiting for it to be officially calculated per our constitution and no matter what the next occupant says, I won't join in on the kumbaya refrain just yet.
Ed, could not agree more. There is nothing in the last four years to encourage coming together - nor, I think, do we necessarily need to. The argument should really be about policy, about what benefits the country - that is the quickest way to build that word "consensus" that we will be hearing so much of in the near future. Instead, each sides views are peddled as "the answer" when more often than not they benefit that side more.
DeleteI go back to my original argument: we had four years to fix this problem and neither side did anything. Because they both thought they would benefit from it.
I have lived among those people. Their morals, ethics, and values have inverted. Contrary to their rhetoric they do not want justice or fairness - they want vengeance.
ReplyDeleteGlen - I will certainly concur - by their own statements - that there is at least a certain wing that is crying for vengeance, and rather loudly. It remains to be seen if the larger movement agrees to this - if they do, they lose the middle.
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